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    Inflation

    Today

    Wall Street is struggling for direction before this week’s inflation data.

    ASX to rise; Wall Street awaits inflation data

    Wall Street struggled for direction before key US inflation data as the return of geopolitical risk put a rocket under oil and gas prices.

    • Updated
    • Andrew Hobbs

    Yesterday

    JB Hi-Fi CEO Terry Smart.

    Jump in JB Hi-Fi sales fuels retail earnings optimism

    Investors predict better-than-expected earnings for retailers after months of soft trading.

    • Updated
    • Carrie LaFrenz
    Andrew Hauser says we must beware of overconfident economic commentators.

    Why the RBA’s rates warning won’t mean much to investors

    Andrew Hauser says it’s a risk to listen to “false prophets” on interest rates. But those in the market have little choice but to take a position as a crucial turning point looms.

    • James Thomson
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

    RBA should accept its role in inflation rise

    Readers’ letters on inflation woes; PwC’s tax scandal; solutions for nuclear waste; caps on foreign students; revoking Alan Joyce’s bonuses.

    RBA deputy governor Andrew Hauser.

    Stop telling us what to do with interest rates: RBA deputy

    Economists and politicians have accused the Reserve Bank of hypocrisy after deputy governor Andrew Hauser labelled economic commentators overconfident “false prophets”.

    • Updated
    • Michael Read
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    This Month

    Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock: If her word is her bond, then it’s been downgraded to junk.

    Reserve Bank has finally taken the inflation crisis seriously

    The consumer price index reading gave the RBA an out. Instead, governor Michele Bullock’s tough talk dumped cold water on a rate cut any time soon.

    • Steven Hamilton
    Volatility is the new black in equities markets.

    Time to panic or the correction we had to have?

    Investors’ hope for a Goldilocks scenario all came unstuck last week. But rather than succumb to hysteria, it’s better to recalibrate risk appetite.

    • Stephen Miller
    Economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia will deliver its first post-pandemic interest rate cut in February 2025, cutting three times next year.

    RBA to cut rates three times next year

    Economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia will deliver its first post-pandemic interest rate cut in February 2025.

    • Michael Read
    Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock addresses year 9-12 business and economics students at Armidale Secondary College this week.

    ‘Hottest ticket since Cold Chisel’: Bullock returns home to Armidale

    The RBA governor’s formative years helped make the country’s most high-profile economist a ‘tough’ leader.

    • John Kehoe
    Macquarie Group strategist Viktor Shvets has a very different take on a crazy week.

    Macquarie’s Viktor Shvets’ lesson from ‘mini heart attack’ on markets

    Was the market rout – and rebound – a sign of how fragile markets are, or proof they are actually less risky? Viktor Shvets’ answer might surprise you.

    • Updated
    • James Thomson
    Transurban CEO Michelle Jablko is telling investors and governments what they want to hear. Can she deliver for both?

    Qantas case a timely warning for money-spinner Transurban

    The flying kangaroo’s drama is relevant for Australia’s dominant toll operator, which is returning more cash than ever to investors despite political pressure.

    • Anthony Macdonald
    Michele Bullock’s remarks come amid a split between the RBA and the Albanese government over the economic outlook.

    Rising costs hit Mirvac margins, new homes

    Property developer Mirvac blamed the steep rise in labour and material costs for halving its profit margins on some residential projects, triggering a 13 per cent fall in operating earnings this year.

    • Michael Read and Nick Lenaghan
    Olivia Wirth was appointed executive chair of Myer earlier this year.

    Big discounting and store closures hit Myer’s bottom line

    The department store has warned it will record a fall in sales when it publishes its financial results next month, as lower customer spending takes its toll.

    • Carrie LaFrenz
    In Japan, protections are in place for existing homeowners, with caps to prevent sudden increases.

    Is Japan ready for a ‘world with interest?’

    An entire generation has grown up knowing nothing but yields near zero and mortgage rates that seemed to get cheaper by the year.

    • Gearoid Reidy

    Chalmers’ rebates not helping inflation, RBA warns

    Federal and state government energy bill subsidies will not help get inflation under control, and big-spending public sector budgets are making it worse, the bank says.

    • Updated
    • Michael Read
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    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock had an extra balancing act on Tuesday.

    RBA is in no place to comfort fearful investors

    The reality of Australia’s inflation problem means Michele Bullock has little room to encourage investors’ flagging animal spirits.

    • Updated
    • James Thomson
    Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Michele Bullock said the board seriously considered raising the cash rate on Tuesday.

    Traders don’t believe the RBA’s warning on rates

    Bond markets are still wagering that the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates this year even as the central bank said it considered a rise on Tuesday.

    • Cecile Lefort

    Rise in interest rates only narrowly avoided

    A rate increase was closer than many had assumed at the RBA meeting, and a more hawkish-sounding Bullock said it “was a very serious consideration”.

    • Updated
    • John Kehoe
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

    Inflation to linger until 2026, RBA warns

    A surge in state and federal government spending means inflation won’t return to the RBA’s target band until December 2026, later than previously forecast.

    • Michael Read

    No rate cuts before Christmas, says RBA governor

    Michele Bullock has declared “near-term interest rate cuts are not on the agenda”, warning the economy remained too hot and ruling out decreasing the cash rate before Christmas.

    • Michael Read